Fremont Mortgage Broker

Sunil Sethi
Realtor, Mortgage Broker, Owner, MBA, CPA
Buy, Sell and Finance Homes in Fremont, Newark & Union City
Main (510) 793-8600     Fax (510) 344-3080

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Sunil Sethi's Newsletter
September 1, 2007
 
  
QUICK LINKS:
 
 Recognition Contest
Do you recognize this man in the blue shirt. Here's a hint: Before he got into politics he founded Security National Bank. First two people to Call Me with his name will win a $5 Gift Certificate at Starbucks. 
 * Recent winners ineligible to play for 3 months.
 
 Last Month's Answer and Winner
Do You Recognize This Person?
 
That's Dr. Laura Tyson. You may remember her from Berkeley, she taught economics while I was there. Later she served as Chair of Clinton's Council of Economic Advisors, then Dean of Berkeley's School of Business, and then Dean of the London School of Business.  
 
The people who correctly recognized Dr. Tyson were:
Rob Chandra, Palo Alto, CA
Sanjay Shah, San Francisco, CA
 
 
Sunil Sethi
Realtor, Mortgage Broker, MBA, CPA 
(510) 793-8600 Main
(510) 388-2436 Cell
 
Taking You Forward

 

 
 
 
100% of my business is from referrals. So if you like my service and know of others that would appreciate receiving this newsletter, please forward it to them as an introduction to me. I look forward to helping you on your next Real Estate or Mortgage transaction.
 
 
Best Regards,
 
 
Sunil Sethi 
(510) 388-2436 
 

 

 
 
 
Next Week
look for my
Special Edition Newsletter, Highlighting the Results
from this Years API Scores.
 
 Real Estate Opportunities 
Tighter Lending + High Inventory of New & Existing homes + Shaky Consumer Confidence + Seasonal Slowdown => GREAT BUYS!   
 
And HERE ARE SOME GREAT BUYS!!!
 
In Union City: 30771 Oxford Way
  5BR/2.5BA  2308 sqft  9yrs old $794,950 
   - 5,244 sqft lot.
   - Priced $90,000 under last sale in Feb. 2007
   - Great School! 
 
In Pleasanton: 8148 MOLLER RANCH DR
 3BR/2.5BA   2056 sqft  10yrs old $899,998
  -Offering $17,000 seller credit 
  -Appraisal Value $950-$975K
  - Great Schools
 
In San Ramon: 232 ATHEANA CT
  5BR/4BA  3115 sqft  1yr old $1,044,900
  - Lot is in cul-de-sac 15,889 sqft lot.
  - Offering $25,000 credit for landscaping
  - Great Schools! 
 
In San Ramon: 650 Karin CT
  5BR/4BA  3757 sqft  3yrs old $1,099,000
 
  - 7,064 sqft lot.
  - Looks Great!
  - Great Schools! 
 
First Time Home Buyer Programs
Did you know that many cities have 1st home buyer programs. Union City for example offers an interest free loan up to $80,000 for 5 years. With entry level condominiums starting at $275,000. Total monthly housing costs could be under $1750. Call me to find out about more about these programs!  top
 
Sub-Prime Melt-Down Impact
By now you have probably read about the escalating Credit Crunch, which began with Sub-Prime Borrower defaults and now has spread to Alt-A (a grade above Sub-Prime) and Prime borrowers. 

Why is this happening?
Simply - the Investors who were buying mortgage backed securities, have stopped because of the high default rate.
 
What are the implications?  
  • Sub-prime lenders and lending has disappeared
  • Lending guidelines have been tightened
  • Many lenders have gone out of business; less competition
  • Jumbo Rates have jumped from ½ to 1%
The mortgage market restructuring isn’t over. Based on the analysis I've seen from Merrill Lynch and HSBC, the height of Sub-prime ARM resets will arrive in Nov-Dec 2008. 
 
The table below details the expected amount of debt to reset each quarter. The Total Debt included Prime, Alt-A and Sub-Prime Debt.
  
Mortgage ARM Reset Calendar 
 
 Source: Merrill Lynch July 30 2007   
 
What's the Big Deal When ARMs reset? Most borrowers will experience an increase in their monthly payment of around 38%. Sub-prime borrowers: (1) Can't afford the increased payment, (2) Their debt most likely exceeds the property value and (3) There is no more sub-prime lending, so the only option remaining is to allow foreclosure to happen or try a short sale. 
 
How Will This Impact Prime Borrowers? 
  • Expect more pricing pressure in the low and middle market in outlying markets (especially where schools are not excellent). Avoid Stockton, Modesto, Mountain House. I'm planning on buying in Temecula, Murietta, and Winchester in the Winter and Spring. Call me if you want particulars!
     
  • Consider refinancing today, especially if you have to do it stated income, as this option is becoming harder.   top  
 Are You on the National Do-Not-Call List? You should have all your numbers registered on the National Do-Not-Call List. It takes a minute and stops all those unsolicited calls. This also prevents the credit bureaus from selling your information to anyone interested. While you're at it register at the National Opt-Out Prescreen to stop getting credit card and insurance offers in the mail.    top

Quick Access to Sunil's Previous Newsletters:
2007:
Sept Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar     2006: Dec Nov Oct Sept Jul May Apr Mar
2005: Dec Nov Sept Aug Apr Mar Jan    2004: Dec Nov Oct Sept Aug Apr


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